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　　"Home is the smallest country,country is tens of millions of families...".This week's hottest event is the"escalation of the Sino-US trade war".The escalation of the trade war has affected a wide range of industries and enterprises.For a time,netizens have been talking about it.Where will the instrument industry go if 25%tariff is imposed?

 

　　5月10起美國對2000億美元中國產(chǎn)品加征的關(guān)稅從10%上調至25%后，美方進(jìn)一步威脅，將啟動(dòng)對剩下的3250億美元中國輸美產(chǎn)品征稅25%的相關(guān)程序。作為反制，5月13日晚間，中國國務(wù)院關(guān)稅稅則委員會(huì )決定，自2019年6月1日0時(shí)起，對原產(chǎn)于美國的約600億美元進(jìn)口商品提高加征關(guān)稅稅率。

 

　　Since May 10,the United States has raised its tariff on$200 billion of Chinese products from 10%to 25%.The United States has further threatened to initiate a 25%tax on the remaining$325 billion of Chinese imports to the United States.As a countermeasure,on the evening of May 13,the Tariff and Tax Commission of the State Council of China decided to raise tariff rates on imports originating in the United States of America of about$60 billion from 0:00 on June 1,2019.

 

　　其中，2493個(gè)稅目商品實(shí)施加征25%的關(guān)稅；1078個(gè)稅目商品實(shí)施加征20%的關(guān)稅；974個(gè)稅目商品實(shí)施加征10%的關(guān)稅。595個(gè)稅目商品仍實(shí)施加征5%的關(guān)稅。從具體商品品類(lèi)看，5%的主要集中在化工、儀器類(lèi)，10%和20%少量涉及食品類(lèi)，而最高25%的征稅檔位中，農產(chǎn)品、食品占比較大。

 

　　Among them,2493 tax items are subject to 25%tariff,1078 tax items are subject to 20%tariff,and 974 tax items are subject to 10%tariff.Fifty-five tax items are still subject to a 5%tariff.In terms of specific commodity categories,5%are mainly concentrated in chemical industry and instruments,10%and 20%are related to food,while agricultural products and food account for a larger proportion in the highest 25%tax bracket.

 

　　由于我國的高端分析儀器嚴重依賴(lài)進(jìn)口，因此加征關(guān)稅對儀器儀表的影響將是不可避免的。

 

　　As China's high-end analytical instruments rely heavily on imports,the impact of tariffs on instruments will be inevitable.

 

中美貿易戰對出口企業(yè)的影響

The Impact of Sino-US Trade War on Export Enterprises

 

　　從中國各行業(yè)對美國出口的敏感度排序為：電子設備>機械設備>服裝制造(紡織)>金屬制品>家具>化學(xué)制品>塑料橡膠制品>食品。

 

　　The sensitivity ranking of Chinese industries to US exports is:electronic equipment>mechanical equipment>garment manufacturing(textile)>metal products>Furniture>chemical products>plastic and rubber products>food.

 

　　從事件發(fā)酵，到現在為止，并沒(méi)有聽(tīng)到過(guò)多的對于儀器儀表行業(yè)的波及影響，很多公司表示，對公司的營(yíng)業(yè)收入和日常經(jīng)營(yíng)沒(méi)有影響。同時(shí)，也會(huì )密切關(guān)注事態(tài)發(fā)展，采取有效措施維護企業(yè)利益，降低對美貿易可能的風(fēng)險，并保持與投資者的溝通與交流。當然在業(yè)內也有很多企業(yè)表示，未來(lái)逐步通過(guò)產(chǎn)品更新?lián)Q代，削弱關(guān)稅對公司成本的影響。

 

　　Event fermentation,so far,has not heard too much impact on the instrumentation industry,many companies said that the company's business income and daily operations have no impact.At the same time,we will also pay close attention to the development of the situation,take effective measures to safeguard the interests of enterprises,reduce the possible risks of trade with the United States,and maintain communication and exchanges with investors.Of course,there are also many enterprises in the industry that say that in the future,tariffs will gradually weaken the impact of corporate costs through product upgrading.

 

　　從長(cháng)遠來(lái)看，在中國臺灣或東南亞擁有產(chǎn)能的儀器儀表生產(chǎn)商可能會(huì )受益，因為他們可以將訂單轉移到哪些地方以避免關(guān)稅。對于那些非中國儀器儀表制造商而言，由于中國公司向美國出售儀器儀表產(chǎn)品不多，并將其余產(chǎn)品轉向其他非美國市場(chǎng)，因此它們可能會(huì )繼續面臨低價(jià)競爭，而較低的價(jià)格將對儀器儀表產(chǎn)品的價(jià)格產(chǎn)生嚴重影響。

 

　　In the long run,instrumentation manufacturers with capacity in Taiwan or Southeast Asia may benefit from where they can transfer orders to avoid tariffs.For those non-Chinese instrument manufacturers,Chinese companies may continue to face low price competition because they sells few instruments to the United States and divert the rest of their products to other non-American markets.Lower prices will have a serious impact on the prices of instrument products.

 

中美貿易戰對市場(chǎng)格局的影響

The Impact of Sino-US Trade War on Market Structure

 

　　早在前幾日的新聞聯(lián)播中，中國早就表明態(tài)度：不愿打，但也不怕打，必要時(shí)不得不打。硬氣的宣言，國人一一叫好。相反的，在事件的第二天，這場(chǎng)“仗”打得道瓊斯指數暴跌，美國民眾要為此買(mǎi)單，就連白宮首席經(jīng)濟顧問(wèn)也公開(kāi)承認貿易戰將會(huì )兩敗俱損。

 

　　As early as in the news broadcast of the previous few days,China had already expressed its attitude:not willing to fight,but also not afraid to fight,if necessary,have to fight.Manifesto of rigidity,the people applaud one by one.On the contrary,on the second day of the incident,the Dow Jones index plummeted,and Americans had to pay for it.Even the chief economic adviser of the White House publicly acknowledged that the trade war would lose both ways.

 

　　而任何事情有好的一面，也有壞的一面。要知道，我國儀器儀表業(yè)的中低檔產(chǎn)品已具有一定的國際市場(chǎng)競爭力，出口量較大，但高端分析儀器嚴重依賴(lài)進(jìn)口，幾乎達到100%。日趨增加的高端產(chǎn)品需求量，這些高端儀器還在依賴(lài)進(jìn)口，這足以讓我們清醒地看到自己同美國之間巨大的技術(shù)差距以及對美國核心技術(shù)的嚴重依賴(lài)，剛過(guò)去不久的“中興事件”就是一個(gè)很好的例子。而于美國而言，美國的人工成本高，很難實(shí)現輕工業(yè)品的自給自足，還是需要從其它國家進(jìn)口。所以有人公開(kāi)承認貿易戰將會(huì )兩敗俱損，可以算是一個(gè)很理性的看法了。

 

　　Everything has a good side and a bad side.We should know that the medium and low-grade products of our instrument industry have a certain international market competitiveness and export volume is large,but the high-end analytical instruments rely heavily on imports,almost 100%.Increasing demand for high-end products,these high-end instruments are still dependent on imports,which is enough for us to clearly see the huge technological gap between ourselves and the United States and the serious dependence on the core technology of the United States.The recent"ZTE Event"is a good example.As far as the United States is concerned,it is difficult to achieve self-sufficiency of light industrial products because of its high labor costs.It is still necessary to import from other countries.So it's a rational view that some people openly admit that trade wars will lose and lose.

 

　　同時(shí)，中美貿易戰的升級，市場(chǎng)格局將面臨重新分配，關(guān)稅的增加，很多產(chǎn)品的成本會(huì )大大提高，用戶(hù)的購買(mǎi)能力可能會(huì )下降，可能會(huì )出現退而求其次，選擇其它國家的進(jìn)出口商品代替，這樣一個(gè)新的貿易格局打開(kāi)。當然，受美國高端分析儀器技術(shù)壟斷的沖擊，我國也會(huì )進(jìn)一步突破技術(shù)的壁壘，向著(zhù)更高的技術(shù)精進(jìn)，早日實(shí)現高端分析儀器的自主化。

 

　　At the same time,with the escalation of the Sino-US trade war,the market structure will face redistribution,tariffs will increase,the cost of many products will be greatly increased,the purchasing power of users may decline,and the next step may be to choose Import and export commodities from other countries instead.This new trade pattern will be opened.Of course,under the impact of the monopoly of high-end analytical instruments in the United States,China will further break through the technical barriers,move towards higher technological progress,and realize the autonomy of high-end analytical instruments as soon as possible.